3,486 research outputs found

    Scattering of electromagnetic waves in metamaterial superlattices

    Get PDF
    The authors study experimentally both transmission and reflection of microwave radiation from metamaterialsuperlattices created by layers of periodically arranged wires and split-ring resonators. The authors measure the dependence of the metamaterial resonance on the spatial period of the superlattice and demonstrate resonance broadening and splitting for the binary metamaterial structures.The authors acknowledge support from the Australian Research Council and thank Ekmel Ozbay for providing additional details of the experimental results published earlier by his group

    Metabolic and Vascular Imaging Biomarkers in Down Syndrome Provide Unique Insights Into Brain Aging and Alzheimer Disease Pathogenesis

    Get PDF
    People with Down syndrome (DS) are at high risk for developing Alzheimer disease (AD). Neuropathology consistent with AD is present by 40 years of age and dementia may develop up to a decade later. In this review, we describe metabolic and vascular neuroimaging studies in DS that suggest these functional changes are a key feature of aging, linked to cognitive decline and AD in this vulnerable cohort. FDG-PET imaging in DS suggests systematic reductions in glucose metabolism in posterior cingulate and parietotemporal cortex. Magentic resonance spectroscopy studies show consistent decreases in neuronal health and increased myoinositol, suggesting inflammation. There are few vascular imaging studies in DS suggesting a gap in our knowledge. Future studies would benefit from longitudinal measures and combining various imaging approaches to identify early signs of dementia in DS that may be amenable to intervention

    Novel Calibrated Short TR Recovery (CaSTRR) Method for Brain-Blood Partition Coefficient Correction Enhances Gray-White Matter Contrast in Blood Flow Measurements in Mice

    Get PDF
    The goal of the study was to develop a novel, rapid Calibrated Short TR Recovery (CaSTRR) method to measure the brain-blood partition coefficient (BBPC) in mice. The BBPC is necessary for quantifying cerebral blood flow (CBF) using tracer-based techniques like arterial spin labeling (ASL), but previous techniques required prohibitively long acquisition times so a constant BBPC equal to 0.9 mL/g is typically used regardless of studied species, condition, or disease. An accelerated method of BBPC correction could improve regional specificity in CBF maps particularly in white matter. Male C57Bl/6N mice (n = 8) were scanned at 7T using CaSTRR to measure BBPC determine regional variability. This technique employs phase-spoiled gradient echo acquisitions with varying repetition times (TRs) to estimate proton density in the brain and a blood sample. Proton density weighted images are then calibrated to a series of phantoms with known concentrations of deuterium to determine BBPC. Pseudo-continuous ASL was also acquired to quantify CBF with and without empirical BBPC correction. Using the CaSTRR technique we demonstrate that, in mice, white matter has a significantly lower BBPC (BBPCwhite = 0.93 ± 0.05 mL/g) than cortical gray matter (BBPCgray = 0.99 ± 0.04 mL/g, p = 0.03), and that when voxel-wise BBPC correction is performed on CBF maps the observed difference in perfusion between gray and white matter is improved by as much as 14%. Our results suggest that BBPC correction is feasible and could be particularly important in future studies of perfusion in white matter pathologies

    Value at Risk Estimation Using Extreme Value Theory

    Get PDF
    A common assumption in quantitative financial risk modelling is the distributional assumption of normality in the asset’s return series, which makes modelling easy but proves to be inefficient if the data exhibit extreme tails. When dealing with extreme financial events like the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 while quantifying extreme market risk, Extreme Value Theory (EVT) proves to be a natural statistical modelling technique of interest. Extreme Value Theory provides well established statistical models for the computation of extreme risk measures like the Return Level, Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall. In this paper we apply Univariate Extreme Value Theory to model extreme market risk for the ASX-All Ordinaries (Australian) index and the S&P-500 (USA) Index. We demonstrate that EVT can be successfully applied to Australian stock market return series for predicting next day VaR by using a GARCH(1,1) based dynamic EVT approach. We also show with backtesting results that EVT based method outperforms GARCH(1,1) and RiskMetricsTM based forecasts

    Evaluating Extremal Dependence in Stock Markets Using Extreme Value Theory

    Get PDF
    Estimation of tail dependence between financial assets plays a vital role in various aspects of financial risk modelling including portfolio theory and hedging amongst others. Extreme Value Theory (EVT) that provides well established methods for univariate and multivariate tail distributions which are useful for forecasting financial risk or modelling the tail dependence of risky assets. This paper uses nonparametric measures based on bivariate EVT to investigate asymptotic dependence and estimate the degree of tail dependence of the ASX-All Ordinaries daily returns with four other international markets, viz., the S&P-500, Nikkei-225, DAX-30 and Heng-Seng for both right and left tails of the return distribution in extreme quantiles. It is investigated whether the asymptotic dependence between these markets is related to the heteroskedasticity present in the logarithmic return series using GARCH filters. The empirical evidence from bivariate EVT methods show that the asymptotic dependence between the extreme tails of the stock markets does not necessarily exist and rather can be associated with the heteroskedasticity present in the financial time series of the various stock markets

    Extreme Market Risk - An Extreme Value Theory Approach

    Get PDF
    The phenomenon of the occurrence of rare yet extreme events, “Black Swans” in Taleb’s terminology, seems to be more apparent in financial markets around the globe. This means there is not only a need to design proper risk modelling techniques which can predict the probability of risky events in normal market conditions but also a requirement for tools which can assess the probabilities of rare financial events; like the recent Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008). An obvious candidate, when dealing with extreme financial events and the quantification of extreme market risk is Extreme Value Theory (EVT). This proves to be a natural statistical modelling technique of relevance. Extreme Value Theory provides well established statistical models for the computation of extreme risk measures like the Return Level, Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall. In this paper we apply Univariate Extreme Value Theory to model extreme market risk for the ASX-All Ordinaries (Australian) index and the S&P-500 (USA) Index. We demonstrate that EVT can be successfully applied to financial market return series for predicting static VaR, CVaR or Expected Shortfall (ES) and expected Return Level and also daily VaR using a GARCH(1,1) and EVT based dynamic approach

    Bank Risk: Does Size Matter?

    Get PDF
    The size of banks is examined as a determinant of bank risk. A wide range of banks are examined across four regions, including Australia, Canada, Europe and the USA. Four risk metrics are considered including Value at Risk (VaR), Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR, which measures risk beyond VaR), Probability of Default (PD) using Merton structural methodology, and Conditional Probability of Default (CPD, the author’s own model which measures risk based on extreme asset value fluctuations. Daily equity and asset value fluctuations are included in the analysis, including pre-GFC and GFC periods. In addition to examining size in isolation as a determinant of bank risk, the paper uses fixed effects panel data regression to examine the significance of size as a risk determinant in conjunction with a range of other independent variables. The study finds mixed results among the four regions with no conclusive evidence of significant association between size and risk

    Volatility Spillover and Multivariate Volatility Impulse Response Analysis of GFC News Events

    Get PDF
    This paper applies two measures to assess spillovers across markets: the Diebold Yilmaz (2012) Spillover Index and the Hafner and Herwartz (2006) analysis of multivariate GARCH models using volatility impulse response analysis. We use two sets of data, daily realized volatility estimates taken from the Oxford Man RV library, running from the beginning of 2000 to October 2016, for the S&P500 and the FTSE, plus ten years of daily returns series for the New York Stock Exchange Index and the FTSE 100 index, from 3 January 2005 to 31 January 2015. Both data sets capture both the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the subsequent European Sovereign Debt Crisis (ESDC). The spillover index captures the transmission of volatility to and from markets, plus net spillovers. The key difference between the measures is that the spillover index captures an average of spillovers over a period, whilst volatility impulse responses (VIRF) have to be calibrated to conditional volatility estimated at a particular point in time. The VIRF provide information about the impact of independent shocks on volatility. In the latter analysis, we explore the impact of three different shocks, the onset of the GFC, which we date as 9 August 2007 (GFC1). It took a year for the financial crisis to come to a head, but it did so on 15 September 2008, (GFC2). The third shock is 9 May 2010. Our modelling includes leverage and asymmetric effects undertaken in the context of a multivariate GARCH model, which are then analysed using both BEKK and diagonal BEKK (DBEKK) models. A key result is that the impact of negative shocks is larger, in terms of the effects on variances and covariances, but shorter in duration, in this case a difference between three and six months
    • …
    corecore